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Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change

Abstract:

As climate change research becomes increasingly applied, the need for actionable information is growing rapidly. A key aspect of this requirement is the representation of uncertainties. The conventional approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change is probabilistic, based on ensembles of climate model simulations. In the face of deep uncertainties, the known limitations of this approach are becoming increasingly apparent. An alternative is thus emerging which may ...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed
Version:
Publisher's Version

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Publisher copy:
10.1007/s10584-018-2317-9

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ORCID:
0000-0002-6631-9968
Chapman, SC More by this author
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Grant:
NE/I006680/1
NE/R01079X/1
NE/L010518/1
NE/K008781/1
Publisher:
Springer Publisher's website
Journal:
Climatic Change Journal website
Volume:
151
Issue:
3-4
Pages:
555–571
Publication date:
2018-11-10
Acceptance date:
2018-10-19
DOI:
EISSN:
1573-1480
ISSN:
0165-0009
Pubs id:
pubs:948496
URN:
uri:fcf78ed9-01f8-4fb6-b537-976dfc09edaf
UUID:
uuid:fcf78ed9-01f8-4fb6-b537-976dfc09edaf
Local pid:
pubs:948496
Language:
English
Keywords:

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