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Global probabilistic projections of extreme sea levels show intensification of coastal flood hazard

Abstract:

Global warming is expected to drive increasing extreme sea levels (ESLs) and flood risk along the world’s coastlines. In this work we present probabilistic projections of ESLs for the present century taking into consideration changes in mean sea level, tides, wind-waves, and storm surges. Between the year 2000 and 2100 we project a very likely increase of the global average 100-year ESL of 34–76 cm under a moderate-emission-mitigation-policy scenario and of 58–172 cm under a business as usual...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed
Version:
Publisher's version

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Publisher copy:
10.1038/s41467-018-04692-w

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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-2655-6181
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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-2967-9593
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Publisher:
Nature Publishing Group Publisher's website
Journal:
Nature Communications Journal website
Volume:
9
Issue:
1
Pages:
2360
Publication date:
2018-06-18
Acceptance date:
2018-05-10
DOI:
ISSN:
2041-1723
Pubs id:
pubs:870518
URN:
uri:f782848e-0649-4de3-b22f-1e4eb24837dd
UUID:
uuid:f782848e-0649-4de3-b22f-1e4eb24837dd
Local pid:
pubs:870518

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