Seasonality and comparative dynamics of six childhood infections in pre-vaccination Copenhagen.

Journal article

Seasonal variation in infection transmission is a key determinant of epidemic dynamics of acute infections. For measles, the best-understood strongly immunizing directly transmitted childhood infection, the perception is that term-time forcing is the main driver of seasonality in developed countries. The degree to which this holds true across other acute immunizing childhood infections is not clear. Here, we identify seasonal transmission patterns using a unique long-term dataset with weekly ...

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Authors: Metcalf, C; Bjørnstad, O; Grenfell, B; Andreasen, V

• Publication status: Published
• Journal: Proceedings. Biological sciences / The Royal Society
• Volume: 276
• Issue: 1676
• Pages: 4111-4118
• Publication date: 2009-12-01
• DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2009.1058
• EISSN: 1471-2954
• ISSN: 0962-8452
• Language: English
• Keywords: Seasons; Humans; Denmark; Child; History, 20th Century; Disease Outbreaks; Cities; Age Factors; Infection; Models, Biological; Logistic Models