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Climate change increases the probability of heavy rains in Northern England/Southern Scotland like those of storm Desmond - a real-time event attribution revisited

Abstract:

On 4-6 December 2015, the storm ``Desmond'' caused very heavy rainfall in northern England and Scotland, which led to widespread flooding. A week after the event we provided an initial assessment of the influence of anthropogenic climate change on the likelihood of one-day precipitation events averaged over an area encompassing northern England and southern Scotland using data and methods available immediately after the event occurred. The analysis was based on three independent methods of ex...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed
Version:
Publisher's version

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Publisher copy:
10.1088/1748-9326/aa9663

Authors


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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
Social Sciences Division
Department:
SOGE; Environmental Change Institute
Role:
Author
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Publisher:
IOP Publishing Publisher's website
Journal:
Environmental Research Letters Journal website
Volume:
13
Issue:
2
Pages:
Article: 024006
Publication date:
2018-01-29
Acceptance date:
2017-10-27
DOI:
ISSN:
1748-9326
Pubs id:
pubs:741921
URN:
uri:dfb306d4-b727-4884-89a5-f29887e9c6ff
UUID:
uuid:dfb306d4-b727-4884-89a5-f29887e9c6ff
Local pid:
pubs:741921
Paper number:
2

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