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Influence of the southern annular mode on projected weakening of the atlantic meridional overturning circulation

Abstract:

Coupled climate models predict density-driven weakening of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) under greenhouse gas forcing, with considerable spread in the response between models. There is also a large spread in the predicted increase of the southern annular mode (SAM) index across these models. Regression analysis across model space using 11 non-eddy-resolving models suggests that up to 35% of the intermodel spread in the AMOC response may be associated with uncertainty ...

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Publisher copy:
10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00769.1

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Department:
Oxford, MPLS, Physics, Atmos Ocean and Planet Physics
Role:
Author
Journal:
Journal of Climate
Volume:
26
Issue:
20
Pages:
8017-8036
Publication date:
2013-01-01
DOI:
ISSN:
0894-8755
URN:
uuid:dab4ab5d-df3d-4fc8-a251-ef36e1d7ef20
Source identifiers:
435494
Local pid:
pubs:435494
Language:
English

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