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Addressing model error through atmospheric stochastic physical parametrizations: impact on the coupled ECMWF seasonal forecasting system.

Abstract:

The finite resolution of general circulation models of the coupled atmosphere-ocean system and the effects of sub-grid-scale variability present a major source of uncertainty in model simulations on all time scales. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts has been at the forefront of developing new approaches to account for these uncertainties. In particular, the stochastically perturbed physical tendency scheme and the stochastically perturbed backscatter algorithm for the atm...

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Publication status:
Published

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Publisher copy:
10.1098/rsta.2013.0290

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Department:
Oxford, MPLS, Physics, Atmos Ocean and Planet Physics
Publisher:
Royal Society of London
Journal:
Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences
Volume:
372
Issue:
2018
Pages:
20130290
Publication date:
2014-06-05
DOI:
EISSN:
1471-2962
ISSN:
1364-503X
URN:
uuid:d1c69d57-ddc1-40d5-969a-e81fc48abec9
Source identifiers:
469681
Local pid:
pubs:469681
Language:
English
Keywords:

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