Journal article icon

Journal article

Using momentum analysis to explain and forecast the outcome of international negotiations

Abstract:

Drawing on the literature of technical analysis in financial markets, this article introduces an original framework and methodology for explaining and forecasting the outcome of international negotiations based on two concepts: the relative strength negotiation index (RSNI) and the negotiation contextual conduciveness index (NCCI). By comparing the parties' levels of interest in the negotiations, RSNI serves as a powerful indicator of the direction and intensity of the momentum accompanying i...

Expand abstract
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer Reviewed
Version:
Author's Original

Actions


Access Document


Files:
Publisher copy:
10.1163/15718069-12341309

Authors


More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Department:
Oxford, SSD, International Development
Publisher:
Brill Academic Publishers Publisher's website
Journal:
International Negotiation Journal website
Volume:
20
Issue:
2
Pages:
319–349
Publication date:
2015
DOI:
EISSN:
1571-8069
ISSN:
1382-340X
URN:
uuid:c5944aac-aebb-4e39-b545-478a0ce62312
Source identifiers:
528249
Local pid:
pubs:528249
Keywords:

Terms of use


Metrics



If you are the owner of this record, you can report an update to it here: Report update to this record

TO TOP