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Validation of a rapid attribution of the May/June 2016 flood-inducing precipitation in France to climate change

Abstract:

The extreme precipitation that resulted in historic flooding in central-northern France began 26 May 2016 and was linked to a large cutoff low. The floods caused some casualties and over a billion euros in damage. To objectively answer the question of whether anthropogenic climate change played a role, a near-real-time ‘‘rapid’’ attribution analysis was performed, using well-established event attribution methods, best available observational data, and as many climate simulations as possible w...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed
Version:
Publisher's Version

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Publisher copy:
10.1175/JHM-D-18-0074.1

Authors


Van Oldenborgh, GJ More by this author
Aalbers, E More by this author
Vautard, R More by this author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
Social Sciences Division
Department:
SOGE
Subgroup:
Environmental Change Institute
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World Weather Attribution initiative More from this funder
Publisher:
American Meteorological Society Publisher's website
Journal:
Journal of Hydrometeorology Journal website
Volume:
19
Issue:
11
Pages:
1881–1898
Publication date:
2018-11-26
Acceptance date:
2018-09-18
DOI:
EISSN:
1525-7541
ISSN:
1525-755X
Pubs id:
pubs:946699
URN:
uri:bff24d31-4d67-42e6-8aec-821213bbd68b
UUID:
uuid:bff24d31-4d67-42e6-8aec-821213bbd68b
Local pid:
pubs:946699

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