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Exploring how experience and learning curves decrease the time invested in scenario planning interventions

Abstract:

Scenario planning is a strategy tool which is often deemed to be too expensive and too time intensive. Drawing on learning curve theory, we set out to ascertain whether enacting scenario planning as an iterative, repetitive process and not as a one-off intervention would help practitioners to do it faster. Through a global survey of the practice of scenario planning, we relate how we failed to confirm this proposition, but instead found other factors which appear to affect the time required t...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Oxford college:
Green Templeton College
Role:
Author
Publisher:
Elsevier
Journal:
Technological Forecasting and Social Change More from this journal
Volume:
151
Article number:
119785
Publication date:
2019-12-01
Acceptance date:
2019-10-14
DOI:
ISSN:
0040-1625
Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:1069056
UUID:
uuid:acb02767-2466-4af8-9dab-f8bb4e500966
Local pid:
pubs:1069056
Source identifiers:
1069056
Deposit date:
2019-11-01

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