Analysis of a risk-based model for the growth of AIDS infection.

Journal article

Several models for the spread of AIDS within a homosexual community have been proposed that incorporate biased mixing of different risk groups. A simple model is presented that captures many of the features of these more complex models. Analytical expressions are derived for the time to the state of maximum infection (SMI) in a particular risk group, the proportion infected at SMI, and the number of infected individuals as the group approaches SMI. These results agree qualitatively with numerical simulations of the model.

Authors: De Young, G; Maini, P; Nakamaye, M

• Publication status: Published
• Journal: Mathematical biosciences
• Volume: 106
• Issue: 1
• Pages: 129-150
• Publication date: 1991-09-01
• DOI: 10.1016/0025-5564(91)90042-h
• EISSN: 1879-3134
• ISSN: 0025-5564
• Language: English
• Keywords: Time Factors; Humans; Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome; Risk Factors; Mathematics; Male; Homosexuality; Models, Statistical