Towards quantifying uncertainty in predictions of Amazon 'dieback'
Simulations with the Hadley Centre general circulation model (HadCM3), including carbon cycle model and forced by a 'business-as-usual' emissions scenario, predict a rapid loss of Amazonian rainforest from the middle of this century onwards. The robustness of this projection to both uncertainty in physical climate drivers and the formulation of the land surface scheme is investigated. We analyse how the modelled vegetation cover in Amazonia responds to (i) uncertainty in the parameters specif...Expand abstract
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- Peer review status:
- Peer reviewed
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- Copyright holder:
- C. Huntingford et al.
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- Citation: Huntingford, C. et al. (2008). 'Towards quantifying uncertainty in predictions of Amazon 'dieback'', Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B, 363(1498), 1857-1864. [Available at http://rstb.royalsocietypublishing.org/]. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/2.5/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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