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When the pound in people’s pocket matters: How changes to personal financial circumstances affect party choice

Abstract:

In this paper we revisit the often disregarded ‘pocketbook voting’ thesis that suggests that people evaluate governments based on the state of their own finances. Using data from the British Household Panel Survey over the last 20 years, we measure changes in personal financial circumstances and show that the ‘pocketbook voting’ model works. Crucially, we also argue that the ability to attribute responsibility for these changes to the government matters. People respond much more strongly to c...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed
Version:
Accepted Manuscript

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Publisher copy:
10.1086/694549

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Department:
Jesus College
Role:
Author
Publisher:
University of Chicago Press Publisher's website
Journal:
Journal of Politics Journal website
Volume:
80
Issue:
2
Pages:
555-569
Publication date:
2018-01-25
Acceptance date:
2017-06-14
DOI:
EISSN:
1468-2508
ISSN:
0022-3816
Pubs id:
pubs:700542
URN:
uri:7a51636b-4f06-4c9a-86e6-b1ce5e409baf
UUID:
uuid:7a51636b-4f06-4c9a-86e6-b1ce5e409baf
Local pid:
pubs:700542
Paper number:
2

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