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Utilizing general human movement models to predict the spread of emerging infectious diseases in resource poor settings

Abstract:

Human mobility is an important driver of geographic spread of infectious pathogens. Detailed information about human movements during outbreaks are, however, difficult to obtain and may not be available during future epidemics. The Ebola virus disease (EVD) outbreak in West Africa between 2014–16 demonstrated how quickly pathogens can spread to large urban centers following one cross-species transmission event. Here we describe a flexible transmission model to test the utility of generalised ...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed
Version:
Publisher's Version

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Publisher copy:
10.1038/s41598-019-41192-3

Authors


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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS Division
Department:
Zoology
Golding, N More by this author
Bisanzio, D More by this author
Pigott, DM More by this author
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Publisher:
Springer Nature Publisher's website
Journal:
Scientific Reports Journal website
Volume:
9
Pages:
Article: 5151
Publication date:
2019-03-26
Acceptance date:
2019-03-03
DOI:
EISSN:
2045-2322
Pubs id:
pubs:979791
URN:
uri:6e05945d-74c6-4e89-b07e-ca6ee40143a7
UUID:
uuid:6e05945d-74c6-4e89-b07e-ca6ee40143a7
Local pid:
pubs:979791

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