Journal article
Economic Forecasting: Some Lessons from Recent Research.
- Abstract:
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This paper describes some recent advances and contributions to our understanding of economic forecasting. The framework we develop helps explain the findings of forecasting competitions and the prevalence of forecast failure. It constitutes a general theoretical background against which recent results can be judged. We compare this framework to a previous formulation, which was silent on the very issues of most concern to the forecaster. We describe a number of aspects which it illuminates, a...
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- Publication status:
- Published
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(Author's original, pdf, 147.4KB)
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- Publisher copy:
- 10.1016/S0264-9993(02)00055-X
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Authors
Funding
Bibliographic Details
- Publisher:
- Elsevier
- Journal:
- Economic Modelling Journal website
- Volume:
- 20
- Issue:
- 2
- Pages:
- 301 - 329
- Publication date:
- 2003-03-01
- DOI:
- ISSN:
-
0264-9993
Item Description
- Language:
- English
- UUID:
-
uuid:69d0f5b9-c225-49ef-a17a-c36e6bd31b6d
- Local pid:
- oai:economics.ouls.ox.ac.uk:10592
- Deposit date:
- 2011-08-16
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Terms of use
- Copyright holder:
- Elsevier Science BV
- Copyright date:
- 2003
- Notes:
- Copyright 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. NOTICE: this is the author's version of a work that was accepted for publication in Economic Modelling. Changes resulting from the publishing process, such as peer review, editing, corrections, structural formatting, and other quality control mechanisms may not be reflected in this document. Changes may have been made to this work since it was submitted for publication. A definitive version was subsequently published in Economic Modelling, 20, 2, (March 2003) DOI#10.1016/S0264-9993(02)00055-X
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