Journal article
Scoping potential routes to UK civil unrest via the food system: results of a structured expert elicitation
- Abstract:
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We report the results of a structured expert elicitation to identify the most likely types of potential food system disruption scenarios for the UK, focusing on routes to civil unrest. We take a backcasting approach by defining as an end-point a societal event in which 1 in 2000 people have been injured in the UK, which 40% of experts rated as “Possible (20–50%)”, “More likely than not (50–80%)” or “Very likely (>80%)” over the coming decade. Over a timeframe of 50 years, this increased to 80...
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- Publication status:
- Published
- Peer review status:
- Peer reviewed
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- Files:
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(Preview, Version of record, pdf, 1.9MB, Terms of use)
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- Publisher copy:
- 10.3390/su152014783
Authors
Bibliographic Details
- Publisher:
- MDPI
- Journal:
- Sustainability More from this journal
- Volume:
- 15
- Issue:
- 20
- Article number:
- 14783
- Publication date:
- 2023-10-12
- Acceptance date:
- 2023-10-08
- DOI:
- EISSN:
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2071-1050
Item Description
- Language:
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English
- Keywords:
- Pubs id:
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1544057
- Local pid:
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pubs:1544057
- Deposit date:
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2023-10-09
Terms of use
- Copyright holder:
- Jones et al
- Copyright date:
- 2023
- Rights statement:
- © 2023 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https:// creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ 4.0/).
- Licence:
- CC Attribution (CC BY)
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