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Journal article

Broad range of 2050 warming from an observationally constrained large climate model ensemble

Abstract:

Incomplete understanding of three aspects of the climate system-equilibrium climate sensitivity, rate of ocean heat uptake and historical aerosol forcing-and the physical processes underlying them lead to uncertainties in our assessment of the global-mean temperature evolution in the twenty-first century 1,2. Explorations of these uncertainties have so far relied on scaling approaches 3,4, large ensembles of simplified climate models 1,2, or small ensembles of complex coupled atmosphere-ocean...

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Publication status:
Published

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Publisher copy:
10.1038/NGEO1430

Authors


Rowlands, DJ More by this author
Ackerley, D More by this author
Booth, BBB More by this author
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Journal:
NATURE GEOSCIENCE
Volume:
5
Issue:
4
Pages:
256-260
Publication date:
2012-04-05
DOI:
EISSN:
1752-0908
ISSN:
1752-0894
URN:
uuid:5712b3df-55c4-4c8f-b7ab-0c8c718fce73
Source identifiers:
322845
Local pid:
pubs:322845
Language:
English

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