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Journal article

Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment ­ Part 1: A review of the issues

Abstract:

Uncertainties in natural hazard risk assessment are generally dominated by the sources arising from lack of knowledge or understanding of the processes involved. There is a lack of knowledge about frequencies, process representations, parameters, present and future boundary conditions, consequences and impacts, and the meaning of observations in evaluating simulation models. These are the epistemic uncertainties that can be difficult to constrain, especially in terms of event or scenario prob...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed
Version:
Publisher's version

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Publisher copy:
10.5194/nhessd-3-7333-2015

Authors


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Institution:
University of Oxford
Department:
Oxford, SSD, SOGE, Smith School
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Institution:
University of Oxford
Department:
Oxford, SSD, SOGE, Environmental Change Institute
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Institution:
University of Oxford
Department:
Oxford, SSD, SOGE, Environmental Change Institute
Aspinall, WP More by this author
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Publisher:
European Geosciences Union (EGU) Publisher's website
Journal:
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Journal website
Publication date:
2015-12-07
DOI:
EISSN:
2195-9269
ISSN:
1684-9981
URN:
uuid:4c040aaf-9662-442b-84a7-b3abe7317861
Source identifiers:
580112
Local pid:
pubs:580112

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