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Assessing water resource system vulnerability to unprecedented hydrological drought using copulas to characterize drought duration and deficit

Abstract:

Global climate models suggest an increase in evapotranspiration, changing storm tracks, and moisture delivery in many parts of the world, which are likely to cause more prolonged and severe drought, yet the weakness of climate models in modeling persistence of hydroclimatic variables and the uncertainties associated with regional climate projections mean that impact assessments based on climate model output may underestimate the risk of multiyear droughts. In this paper, we propose a vulnerab...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1002/2015WR017324

Authors


More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
SOGE
Sub department:
Smith School
Role:
Author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
SOGE
Sub department:
Environmental Change Institute
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-2024-9191
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
Journal:
Water Resources Research More from this journal
Volume:
51
Issue:
11
Pages:
8927-8948
Publication date:
2015-11-16
Acceptance date:
2015-10-22
DOI:
EISSN:
1944-7973
Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:572662
UUID:
uuid:4b72d5f7-32af-45be-b8f9-0f22e2cbd9b9
Local pid:
pubs:572662
Source identifiers:
572662
Deposit date:
2015-11-12

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