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Useful decadal climate prediction at regional scales? A look at the ENSEMBLES stream 2 decadal hindcasts

Abstract:

Decadal climate prediction is a branch of climate modelling with the theoretical potential to anticipate climate impacts years in advance. Here we present analysis of the ENSEMBLES decadal simulations, the first multi-model decadal hindcasts, focusing on the skill in prediction of temperature and precipitation - important for impact prediction. Whilst previous work on this dataset has focused on the skill in multi-year averages, we focus here on the skill in prediction at smaller timescales. ...

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Authors


MacLeod, DA More by this author
Caminade, C More by this author
Journal:
Environmental Research Letters
Volume:
7
Issue:
4
Pages:
044012-044012
Publication date:
2012-10-05
DOI:
EISSN:
1748-9326
URN:
uuid:3cfa8a2d-564a-4422-b699-be8cec24a3bb
Source identifiers:
394722
Local pid:
pubs:394722

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