Journal article
Anthropic shadow: observation selection effects and human extinction risks
- Abstract:
-
We describe a significant practical consequence of taking anthropic biases into account in deriving predictions for rare stochastic catastrophic events. The risks associated with catastrophes such as asteroidal/cometary impacts, supervolcanic episodes, and explosions of supernovae/gamma-ray bursts are based on their observed frequencies. As a result, the frequencies of catastrophes that destroy or are otherwise incompatible with the existence of observers are systematically underestimated. We...
Expand abstract
- Publication status:
- Published
- Peer review status:
- Peer reviewed
Actions
Funding
+ Ministry of Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia
More from this funder
Funding agency for:
Ćirković, M
Grant:
ON146012
Bibliographic Details
- Publisher:
- Wiley-Blackwell Publisher's website
- Journal:
- Risk Analysis Journal website
- Volume:
- 30
- Issue:
- 10
- Pages:
- 1495–1506
- Publication date:
- 2010-10-01
- DOI:
- EISSN:
-
1539-6924
- ISSN:
-
0272-4332
Item Description
- Language:
- English
- Keywords:
- Subjects:
- UUID:
-
uuid:3c886326-134f-4636-ada7-827356b7892e
- Local pid:
- ora:4871
- Deposit date:
- 2011-01-31
Related Items
Terms of use
- Copyright holder:
- Society for Risk Analysis
- Copyright date:
- 2010
- Notes:
- The full-text of this article is not available in ORA, but you may be able to access the article via the publisher copy link on this record page.
Metrics
If you are the owner of this record, you can report an update to it here: Report update to this record