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Basin-wide variation in tree hydraulic safety margins predicts the carbon balance of Amazon forests

Abstract:
ests face increasing climate risk, yet our ability to predict their response to climate change is limited by poor understanding of their resistance to water stress. Although xylem embolism resistance thresholds (for example, Ψ50) and hydraulic safety margins (for example, HSM50) are important predictors of drought-induced mortality risk, little is known about how these vary across Earth’s largest tropical forest. Here, we present a pan-Amazon, fully standardized hydraulic traits dataset and use it to assess regional variation in drought sensitivity and hydraulic trait ability to predict species distributions and long-term forest biomass accumulation. Parameters Ψ50 and HSM50 vary markedly across the Amazon and are related to average long-term rainfall characteristics. Both Ψ50 and HSM50 influence the biogeographical distribution of Amazon tree species. However, HSM50 was the only significant predictor of observed decadal-scale changes in forest biomass. Old-growth forests with wide HSM50 are gaining more biomass than are low HSM50 forests. We propose that this may be associated with a growth–mortality trade-off whereby trees in forests consisting of fast-growing species take greater hydraulic risks and face greater mortality risk. Moreover, in regions of more pronounced climatic change, we find evidence that forests are losing biomass, suggesting that species in these regions may be operating beyond their hydraulic limits. Continued climate change is likely to further reduce HSM50 in the Amazon, with strong implications for the Amazon carbon sink.
Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1038/s41586-023-05971-3

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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-3784-5720
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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-6392-2526
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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-1047-1896
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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-2225-2957


Publisher:
Springer Nature
Journal:
Nature More from this journal
Volume:
617
Issue:
7959
Pages:
111-117
Place of publication:
England
Publication date:
2023-04-26
Acceptance date:
2023-03-17
DOI:
EISSN:
1476-4687
ISSN:
0028-0836
Pmid:
37100901


Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
1339592
Local pid:
pubs:1339592
Deposit date:
2023-10-31

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