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Exploring the usability of probabilistic weather forecasts for water resources decision-making in the UK

Abstract:

Over the last two decades, probabilistic weather forecasts have been developed to quantify the uncertainties inherent in modelling the climate system. The skill of these forecasts has steadily increased, but the question of whether they are usable for water resources management remains open. The interdisciplinary study described in this paper combined a modelling approach with qualitative methods to identify technical and non-technical factors that enhance or constrain the usability of probab...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed
Version:
Accepted manuscript

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Publisher copy:
10.1175/WCAS-D-16-0072.1

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Department:
Oxford, SSD, Anthropology, Social & Cultural Anthropology
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Grant:
Oxford Martin Programme on Resource Stewardship
Publisher:
American Meteorological Society Publisher's website
Journal:
Weather, Climate and Society Journal website
Volume:
9
Issue:
4
Pages:
701-715
Publication date:
2017-08-28
Acceptance date:
2017-07-11
DOI:
EISSN:
1948-8335
ISSN:
1948-8327
Pubs id:
pubs:709242
URN:
uri:344cb7a7-e4a1-4afe-b4b7-0f4e75d477e3
UUID:
uuid:344cb7a7-e4a1-4afe-b4b7-0f4e75d477e3
Local pid:
pubs:709242
Keywords:

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