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Persistence matters: Estimation of the statistical significance of paleoclimatic reconstruction statistics from autocorrelated time series

Abstract:

Proxy data forms natural time series used to lengthen instrumental climatic records, and may contain a significant portion of autocorrelation. Increased serial correlation limits the number of independent observations, not satisfying the assumptions of conventional statistical methods. We estimate the significance of calibration and verification statistics used in dendroclimatic reconstructions by combining Monte-Carlo iterations with frequency (Ebisuzaki) or time (Burg) domain time series mo...

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Journal:
Dendrochronologia
Volume:
30
Issue:
2
Pages:
179-187
Publication date:
2012-01-01
DOI:
EISSN:
1612-0051
ISSN:
1125-7865
URN:
uuid:1fbdac4a-1672-43be-85df-4cc94eff56e8
Source identifiers:
335463
Local pid:
pubs:335463

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