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The prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa since 1900

Abstract:

Malaria transmission is influenced by climate, land use and deliberate intervention. Recent declines have been observed in malaria transmission. Here, we show that the continent has witnessed a long-term recession in the prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum since 1900-29 (40%) to 2010-15 (24%), interrupted at different times by periods of rapidly increasing and decreasing transmission. The cycles and trend over the last 115 years are inconsistent with simplistic explanations in terms of climat...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1038/nature24059

Authors


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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MSD
Department:
NDM
Sub department:
Tropical Medicine
Role:
Author
More from this funder
Grant:
Strengthening the Use of Data for Malaria Decision Making in Africa (DFID Programme Code # 203155
More from this funder
Grant:
048335
034694
079080
103602
095127
077092
203077
International Development Research Centre, Canada More from this funder
Publisher:
Springer Nature Publisher's website
Journal:
Nature Journal website
Volume:
550
Pages:
515–518
Publication date:
2017-10-11
Acceptance date:
2017-09-01
DOI:
EISSN:
1476-4687
ISSN:
0028-0836
Pubs id:
pubs:724919
UUID:
uuid:147dcb73-1709-407f-b618-6ef3ad820296
Local pid:
pubs:724919
Source identifiers:
724919
Deposit date:
2017-09-01

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